Methodology
Estimated number of unlicensed immigrant drivers
The Pew Hispanic Center estimates that 180,000 undocumented immigrants (3.6 percent of the total population)
live in Colorado in 2010.
Since 2010, the economy in Colorado has seen steady improvement with unemployment
levels returning to pre-Recession levels.
As more jobs are created in industries such as the hospitality and
construction, we assume that the undocumented immigrant population has also grown. Adjusting for the growth in
Colorado’s population, we estimate that 190,000 undocumented immigrants currently live in the state.
In order to estimate the number of undocumented immigrants that would be eligible and take advantage of driver’s
licenses, we assume that the majority of undocumented immigrants that would qualify for the program are between
the ages of 16 and 75. The Colorado Department of Revenue estimates that in 2010, there were 3,638,374 licensed
drivers.
Adjusting for growth of the total population aged 16 and older, we estimate that there are 3,849,557
licensed drivers in Colorado in 2013.
In addition, using data from the American Community Survey, we find that in 2013, 90.2 percent of noncitizen
immigrants in Colorado were between the ages of 16 and 75. In comparison, only 73.3 percent of U.S. citizens
(naturalized and native-born) are between the ages of 16 and 75. The age distribution of undocumented immigrants
is different than in the U.S.-born population, with a smaller share of children and elderly than either the legal
immigrant or the U.S.-born population.
We use the noncitizen population as a proxy for undocumented
immigrants. We also estimate that 98.3 percent of Coloradans between 16 and 75 currently hold a driver’s license.
This analysis finds that approximately 168,400 undocumented immigrants would make use of the driver’s license
program.
Estimated uninsured and insured vehicles in Colorado
Pew Hispanic Center, “Unauthorized Immigrant Population” February 1, 2011; http://www.pewhispanic.org/files/reports/133.pdf
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Colorado Economy at a Glance; http://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.co.htm
Colorado Department of Transportation, Transportation FactBook 2011; https://www.codot.gov/topcontent/FactBook
United States Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2013, 1 year estimates
Passel, Jeffrey S., and Cohn, D’Vera (2009) A Portrait of Unauthorized Immigrants in the United States. Washington DC: Pew Hispanic Center.
Colorado Fiscal Institute analysis of ACS 2013 PUMS data
190,000 undocumented immigrants
X 90.2% share of noncitizen immigrants in Colorado between 16 and 75
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171,349 undocumented immigrants that would be eligible for a driver’s license
3,916,770 total population 16-75 years of age
/ 3,849,557 total licensed drivers
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98.28% share of those between 16 and 75 in Colorado with a driver’s license
X 171,349 undocumented immigrants that would be eligible for a driver’s license
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168,402 undocumented immigrants that will get a license.